Wales can consider themselves a bit fortunate to have qualified to the Last 16 after getting just four points. But it was their reward for beating Turkey against the odds and they’ll feel that with Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey in the side they’ll always have a chance, even though there’s not much great quality elsewhere in the team.
As for Denmark, they can consider themselves to be even luckier. After the shock of the Christian Eriksen scare they went on to lose their first two games before fighting back to beat Russia 4-1 when it really mattered and somehow finish second in the group on just three points.
The smart money is on this being a tight, edgy, low-scoring game. Wales’ gameplan mostly revolves around hard work, everyone doing their job and trying to provide service for Bale on the break to make something happen. The last thing Wales want is an open game full of goals because it’s hard to see where their goals are going to come from.
It’s now six out of Wales’ last seven games that have gone under 2.5 goals, including all three they’ve played so far at the Euro.
RECOMMENDED BET: Denmark to win to zero at 2.4
They’re two relatively well-matched sides but Denmark just seem to have a few more strings to their bow. A low-scoring win for the Dames looks the way to go.
Italy have been the most impressive side at the tournament alongside Belgium. They’ve been organized, composed, confident and have closed out games after taking the lead. This is not a team of stars and that may just play into Italy’s hands. Roberto Mancini has set the team up to be bigger than the sum of their parts and it’s working so far.
But it hasn’t just been 1-0 wins. They scored seven goals in three games and crucially, kept clean sheets in all three of them. So, if that isn’t a recipe for going all the way in this tournament, then we don’t know what is.
As for Austria, they’ll be delighted to have got this far after years and years of disappointment where they either didn’t qualify for the big tournaments or kept getting knocked out at the Group Stages. But they more than did their jobs here. Defeat to the Netherlands was pretty much expected but they did really well to then beat the Ukraine and North Macedonia and get the six points that allowed them to finish second.
But his should be the end of the road for them against a side who holds all the trumps: better manager, better squad, more experience, you name it.
So, this could actually be simpler for Italy than it seems and 3-0 at 8.75 should be your first wager for the game.
RECOMMENDED BET: Back Italy to win 3-0 at 8.75
For the second, look at the prolific Ciro immobile for a goal. He had a strong season at club level and scored in the first two games he played ta the Euros so is obviously a man in form.