Conditions in England favour Australia
- Australia topped the table with 66.67% points whereas India secured second spot with 58.80% points
- India have won the last three Test series between the two at home as well as in Australia
India have defeated Australia in the last three bilateral Test series home and away, including a 2-1 victory earlier this year to secure their place in the WTC final. But adjusting to a neutral venue in England will be a big challenge. India have odds of 2.66 to beat Australia.
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Australia were the best performing side in the second edition of the World Test Championship. They won 11 Tests and lost only three. The WTC final is set to be played at the Oval in London. These conditions suit the Aussies a lot more. Australia have odds of 1.92 to beat India.
Head-to-head record, India vs Australia
The head-to-head record between these two sides is tilted towards Australia. The men from down under have won 44 out of 106 Tests between the two rivals. India have won 32 encounters. Talking about the last five Tests, India lead the scoreline by 3-1.
Toss prediction
Long gone are the days the teams would look to bowl first in the longer format and exploit some help off the pitch. In the last few years, except for the new England, the teams have preferred batting first even on greenish pitches. Therefore, we expect the team winning the toss to bat first.
Win probability
Considering the strengths and weaknesses of both these sides and the familiarity with the conditions, Australia head into this game as favourites, with a win probability of 53%
Average score
The Oval in London has often seen big scores in Test cricket. The average first and second innings totals at this ground read 343 and 304. The team batting first will have to score at least 300 to be in the contest.
Pitch and conditions
The pitches at the Oval have traditionally been very good for batting, especially on the first three days. However, with the duke balls in play, you can expect the bowlers to get good movement.
Players to keep an eye on…
India predicted playing XI:
Shubman Gill, Rohit Sharma (c), Cheteshwar Pujara, Virat Kohli, Ajinkya Rahane, Ravindra Jadeja, Srikar Bharat (wk), Ravichandran Ashwin, Umesh Yadav, Mohammed Shami, Mohammed Siraj
Australia predicted playing XI:
David Warner, Usman Khawaja, Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith, Travis Head, Cameron Green, Alex Carey (wk), Mitchell Starc, Pat Cummins (c), Nathan Lyon, Scott Boland
Virat Kohli: The Indian superstar seems to be back to his best, scoring runs for fun across three formats. Kohli had scored 186 against this opponent in the final Test of the series.
Marnus Labuschagne: The Aussie number three has been one of the best batters in the world. He has recently played County championship division two, where he amassed 502 runs at an average of 72.
WTC 2023 Final predictions
India’s bowling attack is depleted while Australia have better resources and their batting unit is deeper. We predict that Australia will win the match.
Our pick: Back Australia at 1.92 to win this game!
Australia v India Betting tips
Apart from betting on Australia to win the match, check our other recommended bet about India’s best bowler.
Mohammed Shami is coming off excellent form in the recently concluded IPL. He has a terrific record in Test cricket with 225 wickets at 27.48 apiece. He will be leading India’s bowling attack in this game. Back Shami at 3.25 to be India’s top bowler in first innings!