Sri Lanka hope to correct recent record with a Champions Trophy spot on the line

• New Zealand have eight points in the Cricket World Cup 2023, with the best net run-rate amongst three teams competing for the fourth spot.
• New Zealand lead the scoreline for the previous 10 encounters between the two teams by 8-1.

New Zealand are set to take on Sri Lanka in match 41 of the Cricket World Cup 2023 at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru on November 9th. After winning the first four games, the Black Caps have lost four on the trot. They need to win this game to have a shot at the semifinals. New Zealand head into this match as favourites at 1.28

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Sri Lanka’s hopes of reaching the top four ended after suffering a three-wicket defeat against Bangladesh. They have four points, having won two out of eight games, and a win here is crucial for their qualification for the Champions Trophy. Sri Lanka have odds of 3.77 to win this match.

Head-to-head record, New Zealand vs Sri Lanka

The head-to-head record between these two teams is tilted towards New Zealand. They have faced off in 101 ODI matches, of which New Zealand have won 51 games while Sri Lanka have been victorious 41 times. As for the previous 10 encounters, New Zealand lead the scoreline by 8-1.

Toss prediction

New Zealand have lost their last three games while chasing and they would be hoping to bat first. Sri Lanka’s only two wins have come while chasing, and they have lost four games while batting first. Our toss prediction is that New Zealand will win the toss and bat first.

Win probability

Both New Zealand and Sri Lanka are coming off a slew of losses in the ongoing tournament. New Zealand have been dominant in head to head rivalry against Sri Lanka and are a better side overall. They head into this contest as favourites, with a win probability of 62%.

Average score

The average first innings score at M Chinnaswamy Stadium after 26 ODIs in men’s cricket reads 271. The highest team score registered here was 401/4 by New Zealand in the previous game.

Pitch and conditions

M Chinnaswamy Stadium is known as a batting paradise. The pitches here are mostly flat and short boundaries help the batters further. None of the bowling types do particularly well here. As for the weather, Bengaluru could witness some showers in the afternoon and evening. There’s over a 79% chance of precipitation with 2.4-8.2 mm of rain predicted. 

Players to keep an eye on…

New Zealand predicted playing XI:

Devon Conway, Rachin Ravindra, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (c/wk), Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Mitchell Santner, Kyle Jamieson, Tim Southee, Trent Boult

Sri Lanka predicted playing XI:

Pathum Nissanka, Dimuth Karunaratne, Kusal Mendis (c/wk), Sadeera Samarawickrama, Charith Asalanka, Dhananjaya de Silva, Angelo Mathews, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Kasun Rajitha, Dilshan Madushanka

Rachin Ravindra: The young all-rounder has taken the World Cup by storm, putting on great batting performances. He has scored 523 runs from eight games at a strike rate of 107, including three hundreds and two fifties.

Sadeera Samarawickrama: The Sri Lankan no. 4 has been pretty solid with the bat in the ongoing tournament. He has scored 372 runs from eight innings at a strike rate of 102. He has smashed one century and two half centuries in the competition.

New Zealand vs Sri Lanka prediction

New Zealand have been on a four-match losing streak but have done better than the results suggest. Both teams have struggled with their bowling but New Zealand have a much stronger batting unit. The Black Caps almost chased down 389 against Australia and scored 401 versus Pakistan in the last game.

Our pick: Back New Zealand to win the match at 1.28

New Zealand vs Sri Lanka betting tips

Apart from betting on New Zealand to win the match, check out our other recommended bet about Sri Lanka’s best bowler.

Dilshan Madushanka is the leading wicket-taker in the tournament with 21 wickets from eight games. He has struck every 20.57 deliveries in the competition. Back Madushanka at 3.75 to be Sri Lanka’s top bowler in the match!