- Sri Lanka have managed to beat India only once in the previous 10 encounters.
- Spinners have taken 32 wickets at RPS Colombo in the first five Super 4 games.
It’s the Asia Cup title on the line when India and Sri Lanka lock horns in the final at Colombo on September 17. India are undefeated in the tournament and secured the final berth with victories over Pakistan and Sri Lanka. India head into this match as favourites at 1.50
Sri Lanka defeated Bangladesh and Pakistan in the Super 4 stage to book their spot in the final. The home side chased down 252 versus Pakistan in 42 overs in a last-ball thriller. Sri Lanka have odds of 2.30 to win this match.
The head-to-head record between these two neighboring rivals is dominated by India. The two sides have faced each other in 166 ODIs, with India coming out on top 97 times and Sri Lanka winning 57 games. As for the previous 10 matches, India lead the scoreline by 9-1.
R Premadasa Stadium has historically favoured the team batting first. Out of 159 One-Day internationals played here, the team batting first has won 87 compared to 62 by the team batting second. We predict India to win the toss and bat first in this match.
India have a stronger side on paper and are in great form. And for that reason, the market has India as favourites to win the final with a win probability of 62%.
The average first innings score from 159 ODIs hosted at this venue stands at 233. The number goes down to 192 for the second innings.
RPS Colombo has produced bowling-friendly pitches over the years with significant assistance for spinners. Seamers have also found a good amount of help in the ongoing tournament. The weather could play a spoil-sport as there’s a 90% chance of precipitation.
Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Perera, Kusal Mendis (wk), Sadeera Samarawickrama, Charith Asalanka, Dhananjaya de Silva, Dasun Shanaka (c), Dunith Wellalage, Dushan Hemantha, Pramod Madushan, Matheesha Pathirana
Shubman Gill, Rohit Sharma (c), Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (wk), Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj
Kuldeep Yadav: The left arm spinner has been incredible in the format this year, picking 31 wickets at an average of 15.48. He took 5 for 25 against Pakistan and backed it up with 4 for 43.
Dunith Wellalage: The young sensation has taken 10 wickets in the tournament at an economy of 4.30. He has also scored crucial 78 runs down the order and nearly took his side over the line against India in the previous encounter.
The Indian side has excellent bowling resources in both pace and spin department. The batting unit has also done well for the most part. Sri Lanka have punched above their weight but don’t have a good record versus India in recent times. We predict that India will win the match.
Our pick: Back India at 1.50 to win this one!
Apart from betting on India to win the match, check our other recommended bet about Sri Lanka’s best batter.
Kusal Mendis has been in great form, scoring 253 runs in the ongoing tournament with three fifties. He was superb against Pakistan on Thursday, smashing 91 off 87. Back Mendis at 4.00 to be Sri Lanka’s top batter in the match!