Netherlands need to take it close and a favour from Australia to reach the Champions Trophy 2025
- Virat Kohli is the third highest run-scorer in the tournament with 543 runs, including two hundreds and four fifties.
- The home side is likely to rest a couple of players, mainly Jasprit Bumrah with Prasidh Krishna coming in.
The final group fixture of the Cricket World Cup 2023 will have India and Netherlands face off at M Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru on November 12th. Rohit Sharma’s men have been ruthless in the tournament, destroying everyone in their path. They have secured a semifinals berth and could rest a few players in this game. India are favourites to win this match at 1.02
Netherlands are at the bottom of the table with four points and the worst net run-rate among all teams. The Dutch have defeated South Africa and now need to have a better net run-rate than Bangladesh to book their ticket in the Champions Trophy 2025. Netherlands have odds of 15.38 to win this match.
India and Netherlands have faced each other in ODI cricket only twice, in 2003 and 2011 WC editions. India won both the games by 68 runs and five wickets respectively.
India have chased in most of the games in the ongoing World Cup and would be looking to bat first here. Netherlands would also hope to bat first and put some scoreboard pressure. Our toss prediction is that India will win the toss and opt to bat first.
India are a better side than Netherlands by every metric, and their current positions on the table reflect that. Considering all the factors, India will be heavy favourites heading into the game with a win probability of 94% for this match.
The average first innings score at M Chinnaswamy Stadium after 27 men’s ODIs reads 267. In two of the four games played here in this tournament, the team batting first posted 367 and 401.
M Chinnaswamy Stadium has historically produced very good pitches for batting. Short boundaries further help the shot-making. and bounce. As for the weather, it is expected to be mostly clear and pleasant on Sunday with no big threat of rain. The temperature should range between 20 to 28 degrees.
Rohit Sharma (c), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (wk), Suryakumar Yadav, Ravindra Jadeja, Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Prasidh Krishna
Vikramjit Singh, Max O’Dowd, Colin Ackermann, Sybrand Engelbrecht, Scott Edwards (c/wk), Bas de Leede, Teja Nidamanuru, Logan van Beek, Roelof van der Merwe, Aryan Dutt, Paul van Meekeren
Shubman Gill: The Indian opener has scored 219 runs in the tournament at a strike rate of 97, with two fifties. Gill hasn’t maximised his form but this match is a good opportunity for him to get his maiden WC century.
Logan van Beek: The pace-bowling all-rounder has done a good job for the Netherlands in the ongoing tournament. He has taken 12 wickets from seven games at an economy of 6.06 while scoring 124 runs with one fifty.
There is a big gap in quality between these two teams, with India having a far superior batting and bowling line-ups. They have run through every single opponent in the tournament and the Netherlands will need something special to even compete.
Our pick: Bet on India to win the match at 1.02
Apart from betting on India to win the match, check our other recommended bet about India’s best bowler.
Mohammed Shami has been menacing in this World Cup, picking 16 wickets from just four games at an average of 7 and strike rate of 9.7. Back Shami at 3.48 to be India’s top bowler in the match!