Can South Africa continue their recent edge over Australia?
- South Africa have defeated Australia in eight of the previous 10 encounters between the two.
- Australia have lost four of their last five games, in contrast to South Africa.
South Africa and Australia will meet in match no. 10 of the 2023 World Cup at Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow on October 12th. Australia suffered a six-wicket defeat against India in their opening game, where they were bowled out for 199. Despite that, Australia start as favourites to win this match at 2.17
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South Africa smashed Sri Lanka by 102 runs in their first game at Delhi. Quinton de Kock, Rassie van der Dussen and Aiden Markram hammered centuries as they posted 428 – the highest in World Cup history. South Africa have odds of 2.19 to win this match.
Head-to-head record, Australia vs South Africa
The head-to-head record between these two teams is closely matched. They have faced each other in 108 ODIs, with South Africa winning 54 games and Australia coming out on top 50 times. As for the last 10 games, South Africa lead the scoreline by 8-2.
Toss prediction
Ekana Cricket Stadium has hosted nine ODIs, and there’s a big bias towards the team batting second. Seven of the nine games have been won by the chasing side. Our toss prediction is that South Africa will win the toss and bowl first.
Win probability
Australia are coming off a loss but still have quality batting and bowling resources. The market has Australia as favourites heading into this game with a win probability of 58%.
Average score
The average first innings score at this ground in Lucknow is 219 after nine ODIs. The average score for the second innings reads 212.
Pitch and conditions
BRSABV Ekana Cricket Stadium is known for its extremely difficult pitches for batting. Spinners, in particular, get significant help. Batting does get slightly easier under lights when the dew sets in, which explains the chasing record. The weather on Thursday is expected to be warm and hazy with the temperature ranging between 28-36 degrees.
Players to keep an eye on…
Australia predicted playing XI:
David Warner, Mitchell Marsh, Steve Smith, Marnus Labuschagne, Alex Carey, Cameron Green, Glenn Maxwell, Pat Cummins (c), Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood
South Africa predicted playing XI:
Temba Bavuma (c), Quinton de Kock (wk), Rassie van der Dussen, Aiden Markram, Heinrich Klaasen, David Miller, Marco Jansen, Keshav Maharaj, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi, Tabraiz Shamsi
Adam Zampa: The Australian leg-spinner had an ordinary day against India but remains a key figure for this game on a spin-friendly pitch. He has taken 15 wickets in his eight games at a strike rate of 30.8.
Heinrich Klaasen: One of the most in-form batters going around, Heinrich Klaasen could play a big role here with his ability against spin. He has smashed 559 runs in ODIs this year at an average of 56 and strike rate of 152.
Australia vs South Africa prediction
Lucknow is a venue where spinners will dictate the terms and Australia are currently short on that front. South Africa, on the other hand, have more versatility in Keshav Maharaj, Tabraiz Shamsi and Aiden Markram. The Proteas also have a more in-form batting line-up. We predict that South Africa will win the match.
Our pick: Back South Africa at 2.19 to win this one!
Australia vs South Africa betting tips
Apart from betting on South Africa to win the match, check our other recommended bet about Australia’s best batter.
David Warner scored 41 runs in the previous game and has been in good form overall. He has scored 431 runs in ODIs this year with four fifties and a hundred. Back Warner at 3.95 to be Australia’s top batter in the match!
